Why you should allocate a small percentage of your assets to gold.

Topics covered include:What is money, and how does gold fit with that definitionWhy central banks bought more gold last year than at any time since 1967Which central banks own the most gold and which are increasing their gold holdingsHow fast is the gold supply growing compared to the U.S. dollar money supplyHow financialization, greater leverage, and contagion risk should motivate us to consider gold


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Show Notes

Central banks load up on gold in response to rising geopolitical tensions by Daria Mosolova—The Financial Times

Above-ground stocks—Gold Hub

Central bank holdings—Gold Hub

Does the Federal Reserve own or hold gold?—The Federal Reserve

Trey Reik—LinkedIn

M2 and Components—FRED

Gold Charts R Us

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37: Gold – Without the Hype and Politics

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59: Is Gold Money?

263: Should You Invest In Gold?

344: Why Should You Care About Shadow Banking?







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The Long-term Bullish Case for Gold

A personal finance and investing podcast on money, how it works, how to invest it and how to live without worrying about it. J. David Stein is a former Chief Investment Strategist and money manager. For close to two decades, he has been teaching individuals and institutions how to invest and handle their finances in ways that are simple to understand. More info at moneyfortherestofus.com

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Why stock, ETF, and bond trades are optimized to settle in less than a day, allowing investors quicker access to their cash and securities. What are the benefits and costs of optimization in the relentless drive for cheaper, faster, and more profitable.Why countries are moving to T+1 settlement from T+2 for security tradesWhat will it take for securHow BlackRock and Franklin have launched Treasury funds that are tokenized and trade on the Etherium networkHow optimization works and what are the tradeoffsHow we can use satisficing and rules of thumb in order to cope with the complexity of the world


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Show Notes

About the ‘T+1’ Rule Making US Stocks Settle in a Day by Lydia Beyoud and Greg Ritchie—Bloomberg

SEC Chair Gensler Statement on Upcoming Implementation of T+1 Settlement Cycle—SEC

What faster trading cycles will mean for US markets by Jennifer Hughes and Harriet Clarfelt—The Financial Times

Speedier Wall Street Trades Are Putting Global Finance On Edge by Greg Ritchie—Bloomberg

BlackRock closes in on crown of world’s largest bitcoin fund by Will Schmitt and Brooke Masters—The Financial Times

Optimal Illusions: The False Promise of Optimization by Coco Krumme

Financial Statement Analysis with Large Language Models by Alex G. Kim, Maximilian Muhn, and Valeri V. Nikolaev—The University of Chicago

Related Episodes

457: AI’s Fork in the Road: Societal Bliss or Existential Threat

329: Meme Stocks, GameStop, Short Squeezes, and Bubbles

228: How Tokenization Will Radically Change Investing




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Beyond Faster (T+1) Trade Settlements: The Hidden Costs of Optimization

In part three of our national debt masterclass, we share a simple debt dynamics formula we can monitor to help guide our investment choices.

Topics covered include:How much has the national debt grown over the past fifties years, and what are the underlying driversHow the budget deficit, interest rates, and economic growth determine the level and growth in the national debtUnder what circumstances will the U.S. default on its debtHow should we invest to protect ourselves from the uncertainties of the national debt situation


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Show Notes

Jerome Powell: Full 2024 60 Minutes interview transcript—CBS News

Yellen says she disagrees with Moody's outlook on US debt by Ann Saphir and David Lawder—Reuters

IMF Steps Up Its Warning to US Over Spending and Ballooning Debt by Christopher Condon—Bloomberg

WHEN DOES FEDERAL DEBT REACH UNSUSTAINABLE LEVELS?—Penn Wharton

The Long-Term Budget Outlook: 2024 to 2054—Congressional Budget Office

PUBLIC DEBT AND LOW INTEREST RATES by Olivier J. Blanchard—NBER

Bond vigilantes snooze as Treasury market shrugs off vast US borrowing by Kate Duguid—The Financial Times

Term Premium on a 10 Year Zero Coupon Bond—FRED

Instantaneous Forward Term Premium 10 Years Hence—FRED

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National Debt Masterclass Finale - What To Do

In part two of this national debt series, we explore how households and businesses, including commercial banks, can choose not to participate in what some call a national debt ponzi scheme. We also look at how central banks and federal governments monetize the national debt using quantitative easing.

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Show Notes

Credit and Liquidity Programs and the Balance Sheet: Federal Reserve liabilities—Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

As of and for the Years Ended December 31, 2019 and 2018 and Independent Auditors’ Report—The United States Federal Reserve System

Different types of central bank insolvency and the central role of seignorage by Ricardo Reis

How do central banks control inflation? A guide for the perplexed by Laura Castillo-Martinez and Ricardo Reis

Can the Central Bank Alleviate Fiscal Burdens? by Ricardo Reis

Ricardo Reis Tweets on Monetizing the National Debt

M2—Federal Reserve Economic Data

Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets: Wednesday Level—Federal Reserve Economic Data

Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities: All: Wednesday Level—Federal Reserve Economic Data

Americans Reported Strong Personal Finances Late Last Year, Fed Finds by David Harrison—The Wall Street Journal

A Complete Guide to Understanding and Protecting Against Inflation—Money For the Rest of Us

A Complete Guide to Investing in TIPS and I Bonds—Money For the Rest of Us

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National Debt Masterclass Part Two

In part one of this three part series, we consider why a country that issues debt in its own currency can't default unless it chooses to. We also explore how central banks can control interest rates on the national debt. We also consider whether it is possible for government borrowing to crowd out the private sector.

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Show Notes

Money In The Modern Economy: An Introduction – Bank of England – Q1 2014

Money Creation In The Modern Economy – Bank of England – Q1 2014

Congressional Budget Office 2017 Long-term Budget Outlook

Going for Broke: Deficits, Debt, and the Entitlement Crisis – Michael D. Tanner

Bernanke’s Paradox: Can He Reconcile His Position on the Federal Budget with His Recent Charge to Prevent Deflation? – Pavlina R. Tcherneva – Levy Institute (includes quotes referenced in episode by Ben Bernanke and Michael Woodford

New Framework for Strengthening Monetary Easing: “Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing with Yield Curve Control” – Bank of Japan

Japan’s Debt Burden Is Quietly Falling the Most in the World – Bloomberg

The Bone Clocks – David Mitchell

Venezuela Is Starving – Juan Forero – Wall Street Journal

Curse or Blessing? How Institutions Determine Success in Resource-Rich Economies – Cato Institute

Forget Taxes, Warren Buffett Says. The Real Problem Is Health Care. – New York Times

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National Debt Master Class Part One of Three

Why global small-cap stocks have underperformed large-cap stocks and will the trend continue? The investment case for allocating to global small caps. 

Topics covered include:How have small caps performed relative to large caps over the past two decadesWhat factors contributed to the underperformanceHow quality is an important factor to consider when investing in small capsWhat are the earnings prospects for small-cap stocksWhy small-cap stocks could deliver double-digit returns over the next decade


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Show Notes

US small-caps suffer worst run against larger stocks in over 20 years by George Steer—The Financial Times

Small stocks, big problems by Robin Wigglesworth—The Financial Times

The Death of Small Cap Equities? by Chris Satterthwaite—Verdad 

The Quality of New Entrants by Chris Satterthwaite—Verdad

Related Episodes

466: Does Dividend Investing Still Work?

370: Should You Invest in Small-Cap and Mid-Cap Stocks?

253: Are IPOs the New Ponzi Scheme?

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The Long-term Bullish Case for Gold

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